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Airlines, shipping, rail and buses

Rail network owner financial model, built free.

A three-statement Excel model for a rail track owner (below rail), built from your own figures and checked to balance.

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We use generative AI in parts of our process, so mistakes can occur. Every model should be checked by a person before it is relied on. Read more

The business

Owns or leases rail track and train control and sells access to train operators under a regulated access undertaking or contracts, earning a return on its regulated asset base.

In short

  • 01

    Three linked statements

    Income statement, balance sheet and cash flow, linked in every period.

  • 02

    Valued two ways

    Discounted cash flow and trading multiples, side by side.

  • 03

    Monthly to annual

    Monthly, quarterly, half-yearly or annual periods, for up to 30 years.

  • 04

    Checked every period

    A Checks sheet shows the balance sheet balances and the cash reconciles.

The sample

The sample, as Excel draws it.

Built by the same system and checks as yours, on illustrative figures: every sheet as Excel draws it, or live.

Annual · 10 years · Low detail
Rail network owner sample model.xlsx
The Summary sheet of the sample rail network owner model

Illustrative figures: the sample describes no real business. The live preview shows values; your model’s Excel file has every formula.

How it works

How the model works for a rail network owner.

  1. How it earns revenue1 parts
    Haulage, access and fare revenue
  2. What drives its costs3 formulas
    Rail operating costs · All rail corridors
    Rail operating costsVariable operating costs (NTK × unit cost)Fixed corridor costs
    Lifecycle, major maintenance and handback · Across the business
    Major maintenance expense (works plus provision movement)Major maintenance works paidProvision requiredProvision at period start
    Lifecycle, major maintenance and handback · Across the business
    Provision at period endProvision at period startMajor maintenance expense (works plus provision movement)Major maintenance works paid
  3. What it invests in3 formulas
    Infrastructure assets and capex programme · Across the business
    Infrastructure capexSustaining capexGrowth capex
    Infrastructure assets and capex programme · Across the business
    Infrastructure depreciationDepreciation of existing assetsDepreciation of sustaining additionsProject 1 depreciation (from commissioning)from from commissioningProject 2 depreciation (from commissioning)from from commissioningProject 3 depreciation (from commissioning)from from commissioning
    Infrastructure assets and capex programme · Across the business
    Closing net book valueOpening net book valueInfrastructure capexInfrastructure depreciation
  4. How it is funded3 formulas
    Debt
    RepaymentsScheduled repaymentsPrepayments from an equity raise and the cash sweep
    Debt
    Closing balanceOpening balanceDrawdownsRepayments
    Debt
    Interest expenseOpening balanceAll-in interest rateshare of the year
  5. How profit becomes cash3 formulas
    Working capital
    Trade receivablesRevenuefrom statementsDebtor daysDays in period
    Working capital
    InventoryDirect costs (positive)from statementsInventory daysDays in period
    Working capital
    Trade payablesCash operating costs (positive)from statementsCreditor daysDays in period
What it covers

20 parts, each one tested.

Every part is a tested building block with its own checks: yours is put together from the ones your business needs.

  • CPI forecastConsensus curve with long-run anchor
  • Corporate costsFixed cost base indexed to CPI
  • Working capitalFull working capital
  • Income taxCorporate rate with tax losses
  • DebtAmortising term loan
  • Dividends and distributionsPayout of net profit
  • Discounted cash flow valuationDCF on free cash flow to the firm
  • Multiples valuationEV / EBITDA multiple
  • Interest-rate hedgingHedged share at a fixed rate
  • Infrastructure assets and capex programmeSustaining capex plus growth projectsOwned or long-lease infrastructure — runways, terminals, berths, track, rolling stock, stadiums — with its capex programme, depreciation by asset class and optional revaluation.
  • Lifecycle, major maintenance and handbackComponent replacement schedulePeriodic renewal of concession and PPP assets (resurfacing, mechanical and electrical replacement), reserves and provisions for it, and works needed to hand the asset back.
  • Concession asset and grantor paymentsIntangible amortised to concession endHow the right to operate a concession (toll road, airport, port, PPP) sits on the balance sheet and is used up over the concession life, including fees paid to the grantor.
  • Key-metric summaryLast-twelve-month and run-rate metrics
  • Covenant tests and headroomLVR, gearing and ICR for property
  • Discount rate (WACC)CAPM at target gearing
  • Terminal valuePerpetuity growth on normalised cash flow
  • Interest-rate forecastMarket forward curve
  • Rail volumes and patronageBase volume × growthFreight tonnes (and tonne-km) or passenger journeys on each corridor.
  • Haulage, access and fare revenueVolume × rateRevenue from hauling freight, charging for track access or carrying passengers.
  • Rail operating costsCost per net tonne-km or journeyTrain crew, fuel, rolling-stock maintenance and access charges for train operators, and track maintenance and train control for network owners.
Key numbers

The numbers it tracks.

  1. 01gross tonne-km
  2. 02regulated asset base
  3. 03allowable revenue
  4. 04maintenance per track-km
  5. 05EBITDA margin
  6. 06net debt / RAB
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The sample is built on illustrative figures and describes no real business. Models are calculations prepared from the information you provide. They are not financial advice and must be independently verified. See our terms.