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Farmland, agribusiness and rural services

Farmland investor financial model, built free.

A three-statement Excel model for a farmland and water investor, built from your own figures and checked to balance.

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  • Usually ready within the hour

We use generative AI in parts of our process, so mistakes can occur. Every model should be checked by a person before it is relied on. Read more

The business

Owns farmland, orchards, infrastructure and water entitlements and leases them to farm operators, earning rent and water income plus growth in land and water values.

In short

  • 01

    Three linked statements

    Income statement, balance sheet and cash flow, linked in every period.

  • 02

    Valued two ways

    Discounted cash flow and net asset value, side by side.

  • 03

    Monthly to annual

    Monthly, quarterly, half-yearly or annual periods, for up to 30 years.

  • 04

    Checked every period

    A Checks sheet shows the balance sheet balances and the cash reconciles.

The sample

The sample, as Excel draws it.

Built by the same system and checks as yours: its structure and its inputs, ready for your own figures.

Annual · 10 years · Low detail
Farmland investor sample model.xlsx
The How It Works sheet of the sample farmland investor model

The sample describes no real business. Yours is calibrated to your own figures, so its results are your business’s.

How it works

How the model works for a farmland investor.

  1. How it earns revenue3 formulas
    Water entitlements and allocations · All water entitlements
    Sales of surplus allocationSurplus allocation soldTemporary water price per megalitreTrading costs (share of the temporary price)
    Water entitlements and allocations · All water entitlements
    Water charges and purchasesFixed entitlement chargesUsage charges on water deliveredTemporary water bought
    Water entitlements and allocations · All water entitlements
    Water allocatedEntitlement ML-years held (entitlement × years)Allocation announced (share of entitlement)
  2. What drives its costs1 parts
    Corporate costs
  3. What it invests in3 formulas
    Farmland value · All farms
    Depreciation of farm improvementsDepreciation of existing improvementsDepreciation of new improvements (from mid-period)
    Farmland value · All farms
    Improvements at period endImprovements at period startImprovements capexDepreciation of farm improvements
    Farmland value · All farms
    Farmland and improvementsLand at costImprovements at period end
  4. How it is funded3 formulas
    Distribution waterfall and carried interest · Across the business
    Manager's share above the hurdle (carried interest)Distributions above the hurdleInvestors' share above the hurdle
    Distribution waterfall and carried interest · Across the business
    Distributions to investorsTo investors until the hurdle is metInvestors' share above the hurdle
    Debt
    RepaymentsScheduled repaymentsPrepayments from an equity raise and the cash sweep
  5. How profit becomes cash3 formulas
    Working capital
    Trade receivablesRevenuefrom statementsDebtor daysDays in period
    Working capital
    InventoryDirect costs (positive)from statementsInventory daysDays in period
    Working capital
    Trade payablesCash operating costs (positive)from statementsCreditor daysDays in period
What it covers

22 parts, each one tested.

Every part is a tested building block with its own checks: yours is put together from the ones your business needs.

  • CPI forecastConsensus curve with long-run anchor
  • Corporate costsFixed cost base indexed to CPI
  • Working capitalFull working capital
  • Income taxCorporate rate with tax losses
  • DebtAmortising term loan
  • Equity raisingDividend reinvestment plan and on-market buy-back
  • Discounted cash flow valuationDCF on free cash flow to the firm
  • Net asset valueBook net asset value
  • Interest-rate hedgingHedged share at a fixed rate
  • Purchase price and acquisition costsAgreed price plus costs
  • Hold-period cash flowsAsset-level NOI less capex
  • Exit value and exit costsTerminal capitalisation rate
  • Investment returnsIRR, equity multiple and cash-on-cash
  • Key-metric summaryLast-twelve-month and run-rate metrics
  • Covenant tests and headroomLVR, gearing and ICR for property
  • Distribution waterfall and carried interestHurdle then split
  • Discount rate (WACC)CAPM at target gearing
  • Seasonal conditions and climate riskLong-run average seasonA season factor that scales yields, carrying capacity, receivals, input demand (or, for ski resorts, snow and skier visits) for drought, average and good years.
  • Farmland valueHeld at costValue of farmland and fixed improvements — held at cost, revalued, or at fair value for leased-out farms.
  • Water entitlements and allocationsAllocation for own irrigationWater available from each entitlement holding — its allocation, use, trade and charges — and its carrying value.
  • Orchard and vineyard yieldBearing hectares × mature yieldBearing hectares and tonnes harvested from each block as trees or vines mature, alternate-bear and age.
  • Bearer plants (trees and vines)Capitalise development until maturityTrees and vines are property, plant and equipment (AASB 116) — development costs are capitalised until commercial production, then depreciated over the productive life.
Key numbers

The numbers it tracks.

  1. 01adjusted FFO per unit
  2. 02NAV per unit
  3. 03gearing
  4. 04WALE
  5. 05lease yield on value
  6. 06water value per ML
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See a finished model, sheet by sheet

The sample is built on illustrative figures and describes no real business. Models are calculations prepared from the information you provide. They are not financial advice and must be independently verified. See our terms.