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Oil and gas

Fuel distributor financial model, built free.

A three-statement Excel model for a fuel importer and distributor, built from your own figures and checked to balance.

  • Free account
  • No card
  • Usually ready within the hour

We use generative AI in parts of our process, so mistakes can occur. Every model should be checked by a person before it is relied on. Read more

The business

Imports or buys refined fuels into its own terminals and sells them wholesale and to commercial, mining, aviation and marine customers, earning a cents-per-litre margin over import parity.

In short

  • 01

    Three linked statements

    Income statement, balance sheet and cash flow, linked in every period.

  • 02

    Valued two ways

    Discounted cash flow and trading multiples, side by side.

  • 03

    Monthly to annual

    Monthly, quarterly, half-yearly or annual periods, for up to 30 years.

  • 04

    Checked every period

    A Checks sheet shows the balance sheet balances and the cash reconciles.

The sample

The sample, as Excel draws it.

Built by the same system and checks as yours, on illustrative figures: every sheet as Excel draws it, or live.

Annual · 10 years · Low detail
Fuel distributor sample model.xlsx
The Summary sheet of the sample fuel distributor model

Illustrative figures: the sample describes no real business. The live preview shows values; your model’s Excel file has every formula.

How it works

How the model works for a fuel distributor.

  1. How it earns revenue3 formulas
    Sales · All store formats
    Online salesOrdersAverage order value
    Wholesale fuel revenue and product cost · Across the business
    Wholesale and commercial fuel salesWholesale and commercial fuel volumefrom wholesale and commercial fuel volumesSelling price per litre
    Wholesale fuel revenue and product cost · Across the business
    Fuel product costWholesale and commercial fuel salesFuel gross margin
  2. What drives its costs3 formulas
    Cost of goods sold · All store formats
    Cost of goods soldLanded cost of product soldShrinkageFreight and logisticsLess supplier rebates
    Store and channel operating costs · All store formats
    Store operating costsStore wagesRentOther store costsVariable store costsPre-opening costs
    Hydrocarbon inventory and price effects · Across the business
    Crude and product inventoryCrude and feedstock stocksRefined product stocks
  3. What it invests in3 formulas
    Corporate fixed assets
    Capital expenditureRevenuefrom statementsCapex as % of revenueAdditional planned capex
    Corporate fixed assets
    DepreciationDepreciation of the opening asset baseDepreciation of new capex
    Corporate fixed assets
    Closing net book valueOpening net book valueCapital expenditureDepreciation
  4. How it is funded3 formulas
    Debt
    Closing balanceOpening balanceDrawdownsRepayments
    Debt
    Interest expenseOpening balanceAll-in interest rateshare of the year
    Dividends and distributions
    Closing dividends payableOpening dividends payableDividends declaredDividends paid
  5. How profit becomes cash3 formulas
    Working capital
    Trade receivablesRevenuefrom statementsDebtor daysDays in period
    Working capital
    InventoryDirect costs (positive)from statementsInventory daysDays in period
    Working capital
    Trade payablesCash operating costs (positive)from statementsCreditor daysDays in period
What it covers

21 parts, each one tested.

Every part is a tested building block with its own checks: yours is put together from the ones your business needs.

  • CPI forecastCPI glide path
  • Exchange rate (US dollar)Exchange rate by financial year
  • Corporate costsFixed cost base indexed to CPI
  • Working capitalDays-based working capital
  • Income taxCorporate rate with tax losses
  • Corporate fixed assetsStraight-line over remaining life
  • DebtSingle debt facility
  • Dividends and distributionsPayout of net profit
  • Discounted cash flow valuationDCF on free cash flow to the firm
  • Multiples valuationEV / EBITDA multiple
  • Hydrocarbon inventory and price effectsDays of cover at replacement costCrude and product stocks and the gains or losses from valuing them at historical versus replacement cost when prices move.
  • Wholesale and commercial fuel volumesVolumes by channelLitres (or tonnes or gallons) sold through wholesale, commercial, aviation, marine and dealer channels.
  • Wholesale fuel revenue and product costVolume × price with margin in cents per litreRevenue from fuel sold outside the company's own sites and the cost of product, giving the distribution margin.
  • Terminal, freight and delivery costsDistribution cost per litreThe cost of receiving, storing and delivering fuel — import terminals, road and rail freight, and bulk and cylinder delivery fleets.
  • LeasesLease register
  • Key-metric summaryLast-twelve-month and run-rate metrics
  • Discount rate (WACC)CAPM at target gearing
  • Store networkScheduled openings and closures
  • SalesOnline sales from active customers × orders × order value
  • Cost of goods soldProduct margin less shrinkage and freight
  • Store and channel operating costsPer-store wages, rent and other costs
Key numbers

The numbers it tracks.

  1. 01fuel volumes by channel (ML)
  2. 02fuel margin (cents per litre)
  3. 03terminal throughput
  4. 04replacement-cost EBITDA
  5. 05ROCE