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Farming, fishing and forestry

Chicken meat producer financial model, built free.

A three-statement Excel model for an integrated chicken-meat producer, built from your own figures and checked to balance.

  • Free account
  • No card
  • Usually ready within the hour

We use generative AI in parts of our process, so mistakes can occur. Every model should be checked by a person before it is relied on. Read more

The business

Runs breeder farms, hatcheries, feed mills and processing plants and places chicks with contract growers paid per bird or kilogram, selling fresh and further-processed chicken to supermarkets and QSR chains under contracts that pass feed-cost changes through with a lag.

In short

  • 01

    Three linked statements

    Income statement, balance sheet and cash flow, linked in every period.

  • 02

    Valued two ways

    Discounted cash flow and trading multiples, side by side.

  • 03

    Monthly to annual

    Monthly, quarterly, half-yearly or annual periods, for up to 30 years.

  • 04

    Checked every period

    A Checks sheet shows the balance sheet balances and the cash reconciles.

The sample

The sample, as Excel draws it.

Built by the same system and checks as yours: its structure and its inputs, ready for your own figures.

Annual · 10 years · Low detail
Chicken meat producer sample model.xlsx
The How It Works sheet of the sample chicken meat producer model

The sample describes no real business. Yours is calibrated to your own figures, so its results are your business’s.

How it works

How the model works for a chicken meat producer.

  1. How it earns revenue2 formulas
    Processed product sales · All plants
    Processed product salesProduct 1 salesProduct 2 salesProduct 3 sales
    By-product and co-product credits · All plants
    By-product salesRaw material intakefrom raw material intake and processing yieldsBy-product value per unit
  2. What drives its costs3 formulas
    Husbandry and feed costs · All herds
    Feed and yardage costsFeed costsYardage costs
    Direct labour · All plants
    Direct labourFixed labourVariable labour (production × cost per unit)
    Maintenance · All plants
    Maintenance costFixed maintenanceVariable maintenance (production × cost per unit)
  3. What it invests in3 formulas
    Livestock at fair value · All herds
    Livestock at fair value less costs to sellHead at period end (cows and heifers)from herd numbers and turnoffFair value per head less costs to sell
    Livestock at fair value · All herds
    Livestock fair-value movement (net of animals sold and bought)Livestock at fair value less costs to sellLivestock at fair value at period start
    Plant capex and depreciation · All plants
    Plant capital expenditureSustaining capexGrowth capex
  4. How it is funded3 formulas
    Debt
    RepaymentsScheduled repaymentsPrepayments from an equity raise and the cash sweep
    Debt
    Closing balanceOpening balanceDrawdownsRepayments
    Debt
    Interest expenseOpening balanceAll-in interest rateshare of the year
  5. How profit becomes cash3 formulas
    Working capital
    Trade receivablesRevenuefrom statementsDebtor daysDays in period
    Working capital
    InventoryDirect costs (positive)from statementsInventory daysDays in period
    Working capital
    Trade payablesCash operating costs (positive)from statementsCreditor daysDays in period
What it covers

29 parts, each one tested.

Every part is a tested building block with its own checks: yours is put together from the ones your business needs.

  • CPI forecastConsensus curve with long-run anchor
  • Operating expensesHeadcount build by function
  • Corporate costsFixed cost base indexed to CPI
  • Working capitalFull working capital
  • Income taxCorporate rate with tax losses
  • DebtAmortising term loan
  • Dividends and distributionsPayout of net profit
  • Discounted cash flow valuationDCF on free cash flow to the firm
  • Multiples valuationEV / EBITDA multiple
  • Commodity price deckFlat real pricesPrice paths for the farm, fish and forest commodities in the model — grain, oilseeds, cotton, sugar, beef, lamb, pork, wool, milk, fish, logs, fertiliser and feed — that sales and cost methods read as indices.
  • Key-metric summaryLast-twelve-month and run-rate metrics
  • Covenant tests and headroomLVR, gearing and ICR for property
  • Sources and uses at completionEntry multiple with debt sized in turns of EBITDA
  • Management equity and ratchetsFixed management share or option pool
  • Exit valuation and timingExit multiple of LTM EBITDA
  • Sponsor returns and value creationValue creation bridge
  • Discount rate (WACC)CAPM at target gearing
  • Distribution and logisticsLogistics % of sales
  • Herd numbers and turnoffDairy herdHead of livestock (or fish) through the year — births, deaths, purchases, sales and moves between classes.
  • Husbandry and feed costsCost of gain (feed conversion)Costs of running the herd — feed, animal health, breeding, shearing, freight, selling costs and agistment.
  • Livestock at fair valueHead by class × market value per headValue of livestock (or fish biomass) on hand at fair value less costs to sell, and the fair-value movement taken to profit (AASB 141), net of the value of animals sold so sales are not counted twice.
  • Raw material intake and processing yieldsCapacity × utilisation × conversion yieldFarm or forest raw material received by a processing plant — head of livestock, litres of milk, tonnes of cane, grain or seed cotton, cubic metres of logs — and the products it yields.
  • Processed product salesOutput × price by productSales of meat, dairy products, sugar, flour, malt, oils, lint, sawn timber, pulp and paper from a processing plant.
  • By-product and co-product creditsBy-product value per unit processedRevenue from by-products of food processing — hides, tallow, meals and offal, whey, bran, pomace.
  • Capacity and productionNameplate capacity × utilisation
  • Direct labourFixed plus variable labour
  • MaintenanceFixed plus cost per unit
  • Plant capex and depreciationSustaining capex plus growth projects
  • Energy and carbonEnergy intensity × price
Key numbers

The numbers it tracks.

  1. 01birds processed
  2. 02kg sold
  3. 03feed cost per kg
  4. 04feed conversion ratio
  5. 05price per kg
  6. 06EBITDA per kg